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dc.contributor.authorCusack, Jeremy J.
dc.contributor.authorNilsen, Erlend Birkeland
dc.contributor.authorIsraelsen, Markus Fjellstad
dc.contributor.authorAndrén, Henrik
dc.contributor.authorGrainger, Matthew
dc.contributor.authorLinnell, John Durrus
dc.contributor.authorOdden, John
dc.contributor.authorBunnefeld, Nils
dc.description.abstract1. Recovering or threatened carnivore populations are often harvested to minimise their impact on human activities, such as livestock farming or game hunting. Increasingly, harvest quota decisions involve a set of scientific, administrative and political institutions operating at national and sub- national levels whose interactions and collective decision- making aim to increase the legitimacy of management and ensure population targets are met. In practice, however, as-sessments of how quota decisions change between these different actors and what consequences these changes have on population trends are rare.2. We combine a state-space population modelling approach with an analysis of quota decisions taken at both regional and national levels between 2007 and 2018 to build a set of decision- making models that together predict annual har-vest quota values for Eurasian lynx (Lynx lynx) in Norway.3. We reveal a tendency for administrative decision- makers to compensate for consistent quota increases by political actors, particularly when the lynx popula-tion size estimate is above the regional target. Using population forecasts based on the ensemble of decision- making models, we show that such buffering of po-litical biases ensures lynx population size remains close to regional and national targets in the long term.4. Our results go beyond the usual qualitative assessment of collaborative gov-ernance systems for carnivore management, revealing a system of checks and balances that, in the case of lynx in Norway, ensures both multi-stakeholder participation and sustainable harvest quotas. Nevertheless, we highlight impor-tant inter- regional differences in decision- making and population forecasts, the socio- ecological drivers of which need to be better understood to prevent fu-ture population declines.5. Synthesis and applications. Our work analyses the sequence of decisions lead-ing to yearly quotas for lynx harvest in Norway, highlighting the collaborative and structural processes that together shape harvest sustainability. In doing so, we provide a predictive framework to evaluate participatory decision- making processes in wildlife management, paving the way for scientists and decision- makers to collaborate more widely in identifying where decision biases might lie and how institutional arrangements can be optimised to minimise them. We emphasise, however, that this is only possible if wildlife management decisions are documented and transparent.collaborative, decision-making, harvest, lynx, Norway, population forecast, quota, stakeholderen_US
dc.rightsNavngivelse 4.0 Internasjonal*
dc.subjectpopulation forecasten_US
dc.titleQuantifying the checks and balances of collaborative governance systems for adaptive carnivore managementen_US
dc.typePeer revieweden_US
dc.typeJournal articleen_US
dc.rights.holder© 2022 The Authorsen_US
dc.subject.nsiVDP::Zoologiske og botaniske fag: 480en_US
dc.subject.nsiVDP::Zoology and botany: 480en_US
dc.source.journalJournal of Applied Ecologyen_US
dc.relation.projectAndre: Miljødirektorateten_US
dc.relation.projectNorges forskningsråd: 251112en_US
dc.relation.projectNorges forskningsråd: 212919en_US
dc.relation.projectAndre: Reindeer Development Funden_US
dc.relation.projectNorges forskningsråd: 183176en_US
dc.relation.projectEC/H2020/679651 (ConFooBio)en_US
dc.relation.projectNorges forskningsråd: 165814en_US
dc.relation.projectNorges forskningsråd: 134242en_US

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Navngivelse 4.0 Internasjonal
Except where otherwise noted, this item's license is described as Navngivelse 4.0 Internasjonal